Ethereum futures exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have begun trading, albeit at low volumes in comparison to the debut of Bitcoin futures ETFs in October 2021, when prices were at their highest.
For comparison, the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF processed $1 billion in trading volumes on its first day of operation, while BITO, the first bitcoin futures ETF, processed $200 million in 15 minutes.
The largest pure eth futures ETF, VanEck Ethereum Strategy ETF (EFUT), has only traded 15,600 units at a price of 16.91, or about $300,000 total.
Since the ETFs that track ethereum futures have recently begun trading, volumes could increase. However, there could be a variety of factors at play.
To begin, levels are generally lower than they were in October 2021. The cryptocurrency market is in a ‘dead’ phase, albeit it has shown signs of life this Uptober. However, volumes are considerably different from the uponly time in 2021 due to a month-long sideways trend and significant downonly.
Second, BITO was listed on the NYSE, the largest stock market in the world, and was immediately made available on IBKR and other major retail brokers.
CBOE is a much smaller exchange than IBKR, although EFUT is still accessible through there. That may be a contributing factor to the significantly lower volumes compared to the BITO launch.
CBOE is the sole exchange where ethereum futures ETFs are traded. We questioned VanEck why they went with that exchange instead of Nasdaq or another one, but they didn’t get back to us in time for publication.
A third possibility is that the original focus was on the benefits of the bitcoin futures ETF, rather than its drawbacks.
After its introduction, however, investors began to focus on the ETF’s futures character rather than its spot nature, and efforts to introduce a spot bitcoin ETF to Wall Street dragged on for two years.
On Friday, when the government was expected to shut down, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) did not file an appeal to the Grayscale ruling.
According to their own shutdown standards, the SEC would not have appealed the Grayscale judgment if the government had shut down.
That’s why it’s expected that a spot ETF will debut in the first quarter. Grayscale’s conclusion that you can’t tell the difference between futures and spots means that an ethereum spot ETF will debut either soon after the launch of the futures ETF or simultaneously with it.
If the SEC approves the launch of bitcoin spot ETFs, it may adopt the same strategy as it did with the launch of ethereum futures ETFs and authorize all of them simultaneously.
Therefore, the launch of ethereum futures ETFs may provide a preview of the hotly competitive launch of spot bitcoin ETFs.
For ten years, VanEck, for instance, has committed 10% of its income to the Protocol Guild, a decentralized application that provides resources for eth developers. They further say that the C-Corp. structure provides favorable tax treatment to shareholders in the long run.
The management charge, at 0.66 percent, is also relatively modest. There are now several ways to acquire ethereum (eth), however staking it is easiest when done through a third party (whether centralized or decentralized).
Currently, Lido, a decentralized dapp, has the lowest charge for managed staking at 10%. Ironically, tradfi industry competition could drive prices down.
We are not in a hype phase, thus the low volumes don’t bother us, and to be honest, most eth fans would rather not use futures for holding, although they might if they have a good hedging plan.
The much more important development is the prospect of deeper integration with Wall Street, which may be anticipated and perhaps even priced in.
Unlike the ‘exit’ stages in October 2021 and December 2017 when CME futures were introduced, this merging is happening during a ‘entry’ stage.
That indicates we are about to enter the stage when institutional investors are involved, though if you join before the first quarter of 2024, you may still consider yourself an early adopter.
After that time, you won’t be as early, but you’ll still be ahead of the herd. Therefore, in terms of internet adoption, we are transitioning from the 1990s to the early 2000s.